hot take: sara’s impeachment is DOA unless house flips harder than 2022 midterms. pulse asia oct ’24 pegs admin support at 60% in congress-need ⅓ for articles, but conviction? senate math says 16 votes minimum, and you’ve got 8-10 duterte orbit still. see abinales’ “dynasties and disasters” (2021, ateneo press) on veto-proof coalitions post-edsa. casuals citing fb memes miss the pork barrel scaling laws here: solons defect only when budget flows dry up. rumor mill’s just lakas-ng-bansa psyop.